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R E I Q J O U R N A L

| J U N E 2 0 1 6

P A G E 3 6

Is supply exceeding

demand in the

Brisbane Inner City

apartments market?

WORDS BY KARINA SALAS, REIQ ANALYST

Brisbane’s inner-city apartment market is in the spotlight

again, as experts and property observers try to come to a

conclusion – is it oversupplied or not?

While the crane index is certainly

high at the moment, with more than

a dozen cranes on the skyline, these

are building a range of projects and

are not solely constructing residential

apartments. (Last month’s

Journal

featured research from Knight

Frank that focused on the range

of commercial buildings nearing

completion in inner Brisbane).

So to understand the inner Brisbane

apartment market it’s important to

look at the data. What level of supply

is coming onto the market and how is

demand poised to meet that supply?

Supply – Building approvals

The Australian Bureau of Statistics

(ABS) reports a large concentration

of medium and high-density

developments in Brisbane’s inner ring.

There were 5,853 building approvals

recorded for inner Brisbane for the

nine months to March 2016, and

about 95 per cent of those are for

semi-detached, terrace houses or

townhouses, flats, units or apartments.

The building approvals and the

consolidated value of medium and high-

density developments in Brisbane’s

inner ring reported a significant

expansion of about 50% in financial

2015 compared to financial year 2014.

The updated building approvals data

to March 2016 appears to indicate

that the expansion has eased with the

number of approvals expanded only

by about 5% in the first 9 months of

FY2016 compared to a similar period

in FY2015. This is just the initial sign

of a market supply correction.

Furthermore, while residential building

approvals data is an indication of the

potential increase of the property

supply, there is no guarantee that

developers will decide to go ahead with

the project. In light of recent property

statistics and media headlines property

developers may start reassessing the

viability of their projects.

Brisbane inner north and Brisbane

inner have reported the largest

amount of medium to high density

building approvals for the last 21

months. Newstead and Bowen Hills

are leading the tally with more than

4,060 building approvals and South

Brisbane follows with more than

2,720 building approvals.